Nate Silver: ‘My Gut Says’ Trump Wins, ‘but Don’t Trust Anyone’s Gut’

Breitbart

“My gut says” former President Donald Trump will win the election, Nate Silver wrote Wednesday, with a warning not to trust “anyone’s gut” instinct.

Silver, a statistician, writer, and poker player, says the election remains a “50/50” coin flip, a characterization that many political experts argue is true with just 13 days until Election Day.

Newsweek reported on Silver’s history of predicting elections:

2008: Nate Silver successfully predicted the winner in 49 out of 50 states in the presidential election.
2012: He correctly predicted the winner in all 50 states.
2016: Although Donald Trump won in an upset, Silver’s model gave Trump the highest chance of winning (about 30%) compared to most other forecasters, who largely dismissed Trump’s chances.
2020: Silver’s model favored Joe Biden, which aligned with the final outcome, though it underestimated Trump’s performance in certain states like Florida.

A coalition of Republican lawmakers wants to investigate how much federal funding goes to abortion providers including Planned Parenthood. Sen. Marsha Blackburn, House Pro-Life Caucus Co-Chair Rep. Chris Smith, Rep. Robert Aderholt, and Rep. Claudia Tenney led a bicameral letter to the U.S. Government Accountability Office requesting a report on federal funding for abortion providers between fiscal year 2022 and 2024.

Trump Announces Flurry of Nominations, Including Housing Secretary, OMB, and CDC

Nov 23, 20243 min read

President-elect Donald Trump announced a series of crucial nominations on Friday night, including tapping NFL veteran Scott Turner as Secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), and Russ Vought to return as the director of the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB).

Arizona State Sen. Jake Hoffman Responds After Tourism Director Resigns Following Demand to Probe $700,000 Logo Redesign

Nov 23, 20244 min read

Arizona State Senator Jake Hoffman (R-Queen Creek) told The Arizona Sun Times that any cabinet member unwilling to undergo an "in-depth, thorough, accurate, and honest" vetting process by the Arizona Senate should resign. The state lawmaker made the comments to The Sun Times after Arizona Tourism Director Lisa Urias resigned her position effective December 4, announcing the decision shortly after Hoffman led Republicans questioning the Arizona Office of Tourism's $700,000 campaign to refresh its public image, which included a $15,225 logo redesign from the brother of the person running a marketing company Urias owns, as was first reported by Arizona Agenda.

Starting in 2025, Illegal Immigrants Will Have Access to Minnesota’s Publicly-Funded Healthcare Program

Nov 23, 20243 min read

Illegal immigrants in Minnesota will be able to use a state-run healthcare program starting in Jan. of 2025, a bulletin from the Minnesota Department of Human Services (DHS) says. Last year, Democrats in control of state government passed a law which expanded MinnesotaCare eligibility to illegal immigrants. A publicly-funded healthcare program that has existed since 1992, MinnesotaCare provides health insurance to low-income individuals.

Wisconsin Senator Threatens Legal Action to Get COVID-19 Vaccine Data

Nov 23, 20243 min read

U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has threatened to issue a subpoena when he becomes chairman of the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations if three federal health agencies continue to withhold data on the adverse health effects wrought by the COVID-19 vaccine. In a letter addressed to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Food and Drug Administration, and the Department of Health and Human Services, Johnson demanded that the agencies preserve all records referring to the development, safety, and side effects of COVID-19 vaccines, and to produce the records without redactions by Dec. 3.