by Steve Cortes
Michigan is very much in play for November.
Our new poll shows a dead heat, with Trump and Biden tied at 43% each and 14% undecided for this key swing state. With Trump leading comfortably right now in Georgia and North Carolina, a win in Michigan could well tip the entire election to the 45th president.
The main issue likely to flip Michigan red this November: immigration.
Specifically, undecided 2024 presidential election voters there overwhelmingly reject Biden on the crisis at the US border. Our latest polling shows that a stunning 78% of these uncommitted voters disapprove of the government’s management of the border, while only 12% approve.
Realize that this relatively small cadre of undecided, persuadable voters in battleground states is like political gold. Campaign operatives and strategists will stay awake many nights between now and November, devising plans to reach this bloc of citizens who will decide the next president.
Many of these determinative voters have now awoken to the harsh realities of Biden’s porous border. Every place in America effectively becomes a border town as illegal migrants overwhelm communities thousands of miles away from the US southern border. In the best scenarios, these illegal migrants consume giant amounts of local resources and overwhelm schools. In the worst cases, many of these unvetted migrants bring danger and death to American streets.
Every illegal migrant crime is 100% preventable if America gets serious about guarding our nation’s front door again. The latest and most brutal consequence of Biden’s invited lawlessness is the horrific death of Laken Riley, a 22-year-old nursing student who was brutally slain while jogging in broad daylight on the seemingly safe campus at the University of Georgia. Jose Antionio Ibarra is charged with her murder. He unlawfully crossed Biden’s open border in 2022 before committing additional crimes in New York City. Despite getting arrested in Queens, he was booked and released instead of facing deportation. He then left one so-called “sanctuary city” to reside in another one in Athens, Georgia, where he brought death to that college campus.
Americans are fed up with this carnage, and polling proves it. My populist right advocacy group for laborers, the League of American Workers, has done extensive polling of the key swing states. In every such state, from Arizona to North Carolina, immigration has been the number two priority issue, trailing only the economy. Our latest survey polled Michigan, where North Star Opinion Research questioned a sample of 600 likely voters who split narrowly for Biden in the 2020 election.
On the topic of immigration/border control, these Michigan voters conveyed stunning rebukes of the Biden border crisis. Overall, the poll found that 73% said the federal government’s job performance on the border is weak, and only 22% said it is strong. Perhaps even more damning, among those eagerly sought voters who identify as independents, only 2% said border management is “very strong” and a whopping 55% said it is “very weak.”
Some key demographic groups similarly denounced the border chaos caused by Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, and Alejandro Mayorkas. For example, among the sizable Catholic population of Michigan, only 9% said border management is strong, and 87% said it is weak. Working-class white men voiced similar disdain for the immigration lawlessness, with 84% calling America’s border job performance weak.
National polling backs this trend as well. For instance, a Monmouth Poll found that the majority of Americans now back a border wall, for the first time in that survey that dates back to 2015. In fact, the margin on a border wall has moved massively in the last 5 years, from -14% against a wall in 2019 to +7% in favor now.
Biden’s radicalism presents a giant opening for populist nationalist candidates into November, from the presidency down to st
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Steve Cortes is former senior advisor to President Trump, former commentator for Fox News and CNN, and president of the League of American Workers, a populist right pro-laborer advocacy group.
Photo “Illegal Immigrants” by John Modlin.
