The Nashville-based Beacon Center of Tennessee published results of its poll this week revealing how registered Tennessee voters would vote in the 2024 presidential and senate races.
The right-of-center think tank polled 1,181 registered voters in the Volunteer State from October 5 to October 16.
Regarding the 2024 presidential election, the think tank’s poll shows that Donald Trump has a 31-point lead (61 percent-30 percent) over Joe Biden in a head-to-head matchup in the Volunteer State.
JUST IN: Donald Trump has a 31-point lead over Biden (61%-30%) among likely voters in TN. Read more at https://t.co/9gjwJi4aoG. pic.twitter.com/387QNw5ELp
— Beacon Center of TN (@BeaconTN) October 26, 2023
Trump’s head-to-head matchup lead against Biden in Tennessee has grown 10 points since the Beacon Center released its previous poll in July.
However, when Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is included as an Independent third-party candidate for president, Trump’s lead over Biden drops to 25 points (48 percent-23 percent) as Kennedy garnered 19 percent.
RFK Jr. polling at 19% in TN as an Independent vs Trump and Biden.
See how other candidates are polling at https://t.co/9gjwJi4Iee. pic.twitter.com/hcCQBAvBND
— Beacon Center of TN (@BeaconTN) October 26, 2023
In the 2024 Republican presidential primary, Trump leads the pool of candidates by huge margins.
Trump’s 64 percent is followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ 16 percent, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy’s 3 percent, former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley’s 3 percent, and former Vice President Mike Pence’s 2 percent.
Poll: Trump leads DeSantis in the Republican Primary by 47 points (63% – 16%) among likely voters. No other candidate has more than 3%.
See how other candidates are polling at https://t.co/9gjwJi4aoG. pic.twitter.com/p8fOT6rJI1
— Beacon Center of TN (@BeaconTN) October 26, 2023
All other GOP presidential candidates – U.S. South Carolina Senator Tim Scott (R-SC), former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, and North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum – polled at 0 percent.
A combined 12 percent of polled voters said they would vote for someone else in the GOP primary or remain unsure who they would vote for.
As for the 2024 Senate race, U.S. incumbent Senator Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) leads Tennessee State Representative Gloria Johnson (pictured above) (D-Knoxville) by 20 points (49 percent-29 percent) while 23 percent of voters remain undecided.
TN SENATE RACE: Blackburn leads Johnson by 20 points (49% – 29%) and 23% of likely voters are undecided
See how other candidates are polling at https://t.co/9gjwJi4Iee. pic.twitter.com/i3wqcOHOKy
— Beacon Center of TN (@BeaconTN) October 26, 2023
Blackburn also leads Marquita Bradshaw, who was the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, by 12 points (48 percent-36 percent) while 17 percent remain undecided.
TN SENATE RACE: Blackburn leads Bradshaw by 12 points (48% – 36%) and 17% of likely voters are undecided See how other candidates are polling at https://t.co/9gjwJi4aoG. pic.twitter.com/2eRCxWZhel
— Beacon Center of TN (@BeaconTN) October 26, 2023
As for Tennessee Governor Bill Lee, a total of 47 percent of likely voters approve of the jobs he’s doing, while 25 percent disapprove.
Poll: Governor Bill Lee has a 47% approval rating from likely voters in Tennessee. Read more at https://t.co/9gjwJi4aoG pic.twitter.com/vEmcNfZllh
— Beacon Center of TN (@BeaconTN) October 26, 2023
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Kaitlin Housler is a reporter at The Tennessee Star and The Star News Network. Follow Kaitlin on X / Twitter.
Photo “Joe Biden” by Joe Biden. Photo “Gloria Johnson” by Gloria Johnson. Background Photo “Voting Booths” by Tim Evanson. CC BY-SA 2.0.
