by Mary Stroka

 

Minnesota’s unemployment rate decreased to 2.5% in March, tying its lowest level ever recorded, the Department of Employment and Economic Development announced Thursday.

The last time it was that low was in February 1999.

“The decline over-the-month was entirely due to people moving from unemployment to employment,” DEED’s news release said.

Labor force participation in the state increased from 67.9% to 68.1% from February to March. The state gained 11,500 jobs (0.4% increase, 11,000 in private sector) seasonally adjusted in March after the economy gained 13,000 (revised from 5,200, private sector 12,800, revised from 5,100) in February, the department’s news release said.

Minnesota gained jobs in 10 supersectors. Manufacturing gained 2,300 jobs, and Trade, Transportation, and Utilities gained 2,000 jobs. Other Services lost 200 jobs, a 0.2% drop.

As of March, Minnesota has regained 76% of job numbers it lost from February through April 2020.

In the past year, the North Star State’s private sector has gained 67,584 jobs (2.8%), which is 53,351 jobs short of March 2020 employment. Overall, total nonfarm employment has increased by 68,540 payroll jobs, up 2.5% over the year, which is 77,874 short of March 2020 employment.

Leisure and Hospitality jobs grew 18.1% in the last year. Manufacturing jobs increased 4.2%, and Other Services jobs increased 3.8%. Financial Activities has decreased 0.8%. Education & Health Services has dropped 0.1%.

The U.S. labor force participation rate increased a tenth of a percentage point to 62.4% while the unemployment rate fell two-tenths of a percentage point to 3.6%. Nationally, the labor force participation rate ticked up 0.1% to 62.4% and the unemployment rate fell two-tenths of a percentage point to 3.6%.

The U.S. gained 431,000 jobs (0.3%) from February to March 2022. U.S. employment has grown 4.6% in the past year. Mining & Logging (2.3% decrease) was the only supersector to lose jobs. Leisure & Hospitality, Other Services, Manufacturing, and Mining & Logging are faring better in Minnesota compared with nationally.

“It’s good news for Minnesota that more people returning to the labor force as job growth continues to surge,” said DEED Commissioner Steve Grove. “However, many Minnesotans who want to work are not connecting with stable employment. DEED is working to build bridges between employers and communities that are too often overlooked – workers of colors, workers with disabilities, and new immigrants – to empower the growth of the Minnesota economy for everyone.”

Unemployment rates by race – March 2022

(source: CPS Demecon, 12-month moving averages):

Month/Year Total White Black Hispanic
March-2022 3.5% 3.0% 7.1% 5.1%
February-2022 3.5% 3.2% 6.5% 4.7%
March-2021 6.2% 5.9% 9.0% 7.7%
Over the month change 0.0 -0.2 0.6 0.4
Annual change -2.7 -2.9 -1.9 -2.6

Minnesotans who are Black, older than 55 years old, and/or have lower levels of education are continuing to experience longstanding challenges in returning to stable employment, according to a recent report from DEED’s Labor Market Information office.

Hourly wage increases for private sector workers (4.9% over the year) are about half of the rate of inflation reported in March 2022 (8.5%).

In the past two years, private sector wages have risen 6.3% in Minnesota. Inflation has increased 11.4%. Nationally, private sector wages rose 5.8% over the year and 9.6% over two years.

In many cases, average wages for high-demand, low-wage jobs are increasing. Production workers in nursing and residential care facilities made an average $21.62 hourly in March, up 13.8% since last year. Production workers in Food Services and Drinking Places made an average $16.76 hourly in March 2022, up 10.3% over the year and 17.0% over two years. Those ages peaked in December 2021. Retail Trade production workers’ average hourly wages are growing more slowly ($18.66 March 2022, up 2.5% in last year, 14.3% since two years ago).

Minnesota and U.S. Employment and Unemployment – March 2022

Seasonally Adjusted Not Seasonally Adjusted
Unemployment Rate March 2022 Feb. 2022 March 2022 March 2021
Minnesota 2.5% 2.7% 2.8% 4.4%
U.S. 3.6% 3.8% 3.8% 6.2%
Non-Farm Jobs March 2022 Feb. 2022 March ’21- March ’22 Level Change March ’21- March ’22 % Change
Minnesota 2,893,800 2,882,300 68,540 2.5%
U.S. 150,925,000 150,494,000 6,623,000 4.6%

Minnesota and U.S. Over-the-Year (OTY) Employment Change, Not Seasonally Adjusted: March 2021 – March 2022

 Industry Supersector OTY Job Change OTY Growth Rate (%) U.S. OTY Growth Rate (%)
Total 68,540 2.5 4.6
Private 67,584 2.8 5.0
Mining & Logging 261 4.2 -2.3
Construction 752 0.7 2.6
Manufacturing 12,944 4.2 2.9
Trade, Transport. & Utilities 8,705 1.7 5.5
Information 1,556 3.7 9.1
Financial Activities -1,562 -0.8 1.3
Prof. & Business Services 5,184 1.4 6.7
Ed. & Health Services -326 -0.1 3.2
Leisure & Hospitality 36,198 18.1 11.2
Other Services 3,872 3.8 1.8
Government 956 0.2 2.4

Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) Over-the-Year (OTY) Employment Change, Not Seasonally Adjusted: March 2021 – March 2022

DEED has begun adding over-the-year employment change data for Metropolitan Statistical Areas that border Minnesota and include Minnesota counties.

Metropolitan Statistical Area OTY Employment Change (#, NSA) OTY Employment Change (%, NSA)
Minneapolis-St. Paul MN-WI MSA 52,048 2.8
Duluth-Superior MN-WI MSA 4,056 3.2
Rochester MSA 3,962 3.3
St. Cloud MSA 2,577 2.5
Mankato MSA 1,261 2.3
Fargo-Moorhead ND-MN MSA (February) 3,300 2.4
Grand Forks-East Grand Forks ND-MN MSA (February) 1,600 3.1
La Crosse-Onalaska WI-MN MSA (February) 1,800 2.4
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Mary Stroka is a contributor to The Center Square.